Richard Ha writes:
Five Association for the Study of Peak Oil (ASPO) annual conferences later, it’s very clear to me that the information I learn at
the conferences is cutting edge. It’s consistently two or more years before
what the experts there are talking about shows up in the mainstream news.
From the first ASPO conference I attended, I noticed there
were stock traders in the audience. I asked them why there were there, and one told
me it was so he could make better investment decisions.
The oil decline situation is much more serious than people
realize, and I highly recommend that anyone who wants to be on the cutting edge
of knowledge attend the next ASPO conference. It is usually held around the end
I also recommend you visit the ASPO-TV site and take in some of the videos there.
Robert Rapier gave this interesting talk at ASPO last year, which may be of interest to folks who have more than just a passing interest in
Robert, who presented at the conference the last two years, lives
in Waimea now, where he moved to take the job of Chief Technology Officer for
He has written a book, Power
Plays: Energy Options in the Age of Peak Oil:
In Power Plays:
Energy Options in the Age of Peak Oil, energy expert Robert
Rapier helps readers sort through energy hype, doom and gloom, and
misinformation to understand what really matters in energy, and how it impacts
individuals, investors, businesspeople, and policy makers worldwide. The book
covers the overall global energy situation, the particular risks for the U.S.
with its present energy mix, the energy outlook for the developed world and
emerging economies like China and India, what peak oil really means, and the
present and likely future of natural gas, coal, oil, nuclear power, and
alternative energy sources.
The book also
addresses common misconceptions. For instance, most readers are likely unaware
that the U.S. is the third-largest oil producer in the world. Or that Canada
leads the U.S. in per capita oil consumption. It will also highlight
interesting facts—for example, China has solved part of its energy challenge by
mandating solar hot water systems in all new construction. Most
importantly, the book will provide specific energy insights unavailable
elsewhere and help individuals and business planners chart future actions and
In a recent blog entry, Robert talks about why rising natural gas prices will affect the biofuel industry (natural
gas is a cost component of the biofuel industry).
He once told me that if a biofuel project has a negative
energy balance, it would never be cheaper than oil.
He is highly technically qualified and has a knack of making
difficult issues and conclusions easy to understand. I highly recommend both his book